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Spoken Truth

11 runs in the Betfair files · 29 Mar 2026 – 9 Oct 2026 · Betfair selection ID 61902983

4/11qualifying runs that traded at ½ BSP or lower
36%DOB rate
1wins
3/10beaten runs that still hit ½
4/11Flat runs that hit ½ BSP
A small sample: 11 qualifying runs. One horse's past runs say little about the next one, and conditions, trip and jockey change from race to race.

Every run

DateCourseRaceBSPIn-play lowLow ÷ BSPResultDOBSource
9 Oct 2026 13:30York1m Hcap12.1111.0091%LostNoCSV
19 Sep 2026 13:20Ayr1m Hcap (Due off 16:15)4.604.0087%LostNoCSV
31 Aug 2026 15:40Ripon1m Hcap2.781.0136%WonDOBCSV
11 Aug 2026 19:00Hamilton1m1f Hcap4.141.4134%LostDOBCSV
25 Jul 2026 16:45Ascot1m Hcap38.001.704%LostDOBCSV
4 Jul 2026 17:22Sandown1m2f Hcap4.702.8460%LostNoCSV
20 Jun 2026 19:10Nottingham1m2f Hcap3.182.1267%LostNoCSV
5 Jun 2026 15:15Epsom1m2f Hcap17.1816.5096%LostNoCSV
25 May 2026 16:07Redcar1m2f Hcap9.576.0063%LostNoCSV
16 Apr 2026 16:16Ripon1m2f Hcap3.751.1029%LostDOBCSV
29 Mar 2026 16:05Doncaster1m2f Hcap8.024.4055%LostNoCSV

“n/a” = BSP under 2.02 or no in-play trade recorded, so the run doesn't count towards the rate. “Low ÷ BSP” is the in-play low as a percentage of BSP.

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Each week: which courses, race types and horses traded at half their BSP in-running, straight from Betfair's own files. Numbers, not tips.